diff --git a/.changeset/changesets-v3-support.md b/.changeset/changesets-v3-support.md
new file mode 100644
index 00000000..0b5edff0
--- /dev/null
+++ b/.changeset/changesets-v3-support.md
@@ -0,0 +1,18 @@
+---
+"changesets-gitlab": major
+---
+
+Drop support for Changesets v2 and Node < 22. Bump all `@changesets/*` dependencies to v3 and `@manypkg/get-packages` to v3.
+
+Breaking changes:
+
+- **Node engine requirement** bumped from `>=18.0.0` to `^22.11 || ^24 || >=26` to match Changesets v3
+- **`@changesets/*` dependencies** bumped to v3 versions, which are ESM-only
+- **`@manypkg/get-packages`** bumped to v3, changing the `Packages` and `Package` types (`tool` is now an object with `type` property, `root` renamed to `rootPackage`, `Package` now requires `relativeDir`)
+
+Bug fixes for Changesets v3 compatibility:
+
+- Handle the new `changeset version` exit code 1 when no unreleased changesets exist
+- Detect published packages via the `CHANGESETS_OUTPUT` env var (NDJSON format), falling back to stdout "New tag:" parsing for Changesets v2
+- Prevent creating empty release MRs when the version command produces no file changes — fall through to publish instead
+- Use `ignoreReturnCode: true` on version and publish commands since v3 may exit non-zero in valid scenarios
diff --git a/.github/workflows/ci.yml b/.github/workflows/ci.yml
index 883c47e7..f9505769 100644
--- a/.github/workflows/ci.yml
+++ b/.github/workflows/ci.yml
@@ -10,9 +10,8 @@ jobs:
     strategy:
       matrix:
         node:
-          - 18
-          - 20
           - 22
+          - 24
     runs-on: ubuntu-latest
     steps:
       - name: Checkout Repo
diff --git a/package.json b/package.json
index b0bebc3c..272c4d0c 100644
--- a/package.json
+++ b/package.json
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
   "license": "MIT",
   "packageManager": "yarn@4.18.0",
   "engines": {
-    "node": ">=18.0.0"
+    "node": "^22.11 || ^24 || >=26"
   },
   "bin": "lib/cli.js",
   "main": "./lib/index.cjs",
@@ -64,14 +64,14 @@
   "dependencies": {
     "@actions/core": "^2.0.3",
     "@actions/exec": "^1.1.1",
-    "@changesets/assemble-release-plan": "^6.0.6",
-    "@changesets/config": "^3.1.1",
-    "@changesets/errors": "^0.2.0",
-    "@changesets/parse": "^0.4.1",
-    "@changesets/pre": "^2.0.2",
-    "@changesets/read": "^0.6.3",
+    "@changesets/assemble-release-plan": "^7.0.0",
+    "@changesets/config": "^4.0.0",
+    "@changesets/errors": "^1.0.0",
+    "@changesets/parse": "^1.0.0",
+    "@changesets/pre": "^3.0.0",
+    "@changesets/read": "^1.0.0",
     "@gitbeaker/rest": "^42.2.0",
-    "@manypkg/get-packages": "^1.1.3",
+    "@manypkg/get-packages": "^3.1.0",
     "commander": "^13.1.0",
     "dotenv": "^16.5.0",
     "global-agent": "^3.0.0",
@@ -89,8 +89,8 @@
   },
   "devDependencies": {
     "@1stg/common-config": "^13.0.1",
-    "@changesets/changelog-github": "^0.5.1",
-    "@changesets/cli": "^2.29.0",
+    "@changesets/changelog-github": "^1.0.0",
+    "@changesets/cli": "^3.0.0",
     "@commitlint/cli": "^19.8.0",
     "@pkgr/rollup": "^6.0.3",
     "@types/global-agent": "^3.0.0",
diff --git a/src/comment.ts b/src/comment.ts
index 4afc4126..db3e83ec 100644
--- a/src/comment.ts
+++ b/src/comment.ts
@@ -1,4 +1,3 @@
-import { ValidationError } from '@changesets/errors'
 import type {
   ComprehensiveRelease,
   ReleasePlan,
@@ -302,11 +301,7 @@ export const comment = async () => {
           changedFiles: packageChangedFiles,
           cwdPrefix,
         }).catch((err: unknown) => {
-          if (err instanceof ValidationError) {
-            errFromFetchingChangedFiles = `<details><summary>💥 An error occurred when fetching the changed packages and changesets in this MR</summary>\n\n\`\`\`\n${err.message}\n\`\`\`\n\n</details>\n`
-          } else {
-            console.error(err)
-          }
+          errFromFetchingChangedFiles = `<details><summary>💥 An error occurred when fetching the changed packages and changesets in this MR</summary>\n\n\`\`\`\n${err instanceof Error ? err.message : String(err)}\n\`\`\`\n\n</details>\n`
           return {
             changedPackages: ['@fake-scope/fake-pkg'],
             releasePlan: null,
diff --git a/src/get-changed-packages.ts b/src/get-changed-packages.ts
index b8934190..d695f861 100644
--- a/src/get-changed-packages.ts
+++ b/src/get-changed-packages.ts
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 import fs from 'node:fs/promises'
 import path from 'node:path'
 
-import assembleReleasePlan from '@changesets/assemble-release-plan'
-import { parse as parseConfig } from '@changesets/config'
-import parseChangeset from '@changesets/parse'
+import { assembleReleasePlan } from '@changesets/assemble-release-plan'
+import { validateConfig as parseConfig } from '@changesets/config'
+import { parseChangesetFile as parseChangeset } from '@changesets/parse'
 import type {
   PackageJSON,
   PreState,
   NewChangeset,
   WrittenConfig,
 } from '@changesets/types'
-import type { Packages, Tool } from '@manypkg/get-packages'
+import type { Package, Packages, Tool } from '@manypkg/get-packages'
 import micromatch from 'micromatch'
 import { parse } from 'yaml'
 
@@ -50,13 +50,14 @@ export const getChangedPackages = async ({
     }
   }
 
-  async function getPackage(pkgPath: string) {
+  async function getPackage(pkgPath: string): Promise<Package> {
     const jsonContent = await fetchJsonFile<PackageJSON>(
       `${pkgPath}/package.json`,
     )
     return {
       packageJson: jsonContent,
       dir: pkgPath,
+      relativeDir: pkgPath,
     }
   }
 
@@ -109,11 +110,11 @@ export const getChangedPackages = async ({
       )
     }
   }
-  let tool: { tool: Tool; globs: string[] } | undefined
+  let tool: { toolType: string; globs: string[] } | undefined
 
   if (isPnpm) {
     tool = {
-      tool: 'pnpm',
+      toolType: 'pnpm',
       globs: (
         parse(await fetchTextFile('pnpm-workspace.yaml')) as {
           packages: string[]
@@ -125,14 +126,14 @@ export const getChangedPackages = async ({
 
     if (rootPackageJsonContent.workspaces) {
       tool = {
-        tool: 'yarn',
+        toolType: 'yarn',
         globs: Array.isArray(rootPackageJsonContent.workspaces)
           ? rootPackageJsonContent.workspaces
           : rootPackageJsonContent.workspaces.packages,
       }
     } else if (rootPackageJsonContent.bolt?.workspaces) {
       tool = {
-        tool: 'bolt',
+        toolType: 'bolt',
         globs: rootPackageJsonContent.bolt.workspaces,
       }
     }
@@ -140,12 +141,16 @@ export const getChangedPackages = async ({
 
   const rootPackageJsonContent = await rootPackageJsonContentsPromise
 
+  const rootPackage: Package = {
+    dir: '/',
+    relativeDir: '.',
+    packageJson: rootPackageJsonContent,
+  }
+
   const packages: Packages = {
-    root: {
-      dir: '/',
-      packageJson: rootPackageJsonContent,
-    },
-    tool: tool ? tool.tool : 'root',
+    rootDir: '/',
+    rootPackage,
+    tool: { type: tool ? tool.toolType : 'root' } as Tool,
     packages: [],
   }
 
@@ -160,16 +165,22 @@ export const getChangedPackages = async ({
     const matches = micromatch(potentialWorkspaceDirectories, tool.globs)
     packages.packages = await Promise.all(matches.map(dir => getPackage(dir)))
   } else {
-    packages.packages.push(packages.root)
+    packages.packages.push(rootPackage)
   }
   // eslint-disable-next-line @typescript-eslint/no-unnecessary-condition -- https://github.com/microsoft/TypeScript/issues/9998
   if (hasErrored) {
     throw new Error('an error occurred when fetching files')
   }
 
-  const config = await configPromise.then(rawConfig =>
-    parseConfig(rawConfig, packages),
-  )
+  const config = await configPromise.then(rawConfig => {
+    const result = parseConfig(rawConfig, packages)
+    if (result.errors) {
+      throw new Error(
+        `Failed to parse changeset config: ${result.errors.join(', ')}`,
+      )
+    }
+    return result.config
+  })
 
   const releasePlan = assembleReleasePlan(
     await Promise.all(changesetPromises),
@@ -179,7 +190,7 @@ export const getChangedPackages = async ({
   )
 
   return {
-    changedPackages: (packages.tool === 'root'
+    changedPackages: (packages.tool.type === 'root'
       ? packages.packages
       : packages.packages.filter(pkg =>
           changedFiles.some(
diff --git a/src/git-utils.ts b/src/git-utils.ts
index b7f404d5..c82fe7c8 100644
--- a/src/git-utils.ts
+++ b/src/git-utils.ts
@@ -27,11 +27,37 @@ export const push = async (
 }
 
 export const pushTags = async () => {
-  await exec('git', ['push', 'origin', '--tags'])
+  const { stderr, code } = await execWithOutput(
+    'git',
+    ['push', 'origin', '--tags'],
+    { ignoreReturnCode: true },
+  )
+  if (code !== 0 && !stderr.includes('already exists')) {
+    throw new Error(`Failed to push tags: ${stderr}`)
+  }
 }
 
 export const pushTag = async (tag: string) => {
-  await exec('git', ['push', 'origin', tag])
+  // Check if the tag exists locally before attempting to push.
+  // In Changesets v3, the git-tag command may report tags that were
+  // "skipped (already exist)" on the remote but don't exist locally,
+  // causing `git push origin <tag>` to fail with "src refspec does not match".
+  const { code: tagListCode } = await execWithOutput(
+    'git',
+    ['tag', '-l', tag],
+    { ignoreReturnCode: true },
+  )
+  if (tagListCode !== 0) {
+    return
+  }
+  const { stderr, code } = await execWithOutput(
+    'git',
+    ['push', 'origin', tag],
+    { ignoreReturnCode: true },
+  )
+  if (code !== 0 && !stderr.includes('already exists')) {
+    throw new Error(`Failed to push tag ${tag}: ${stderr}`)
+  }
 }
 
 export const switchToMaybeExistingBranch = async (branch: string) => {
diff --git a/src/main.ts b/src/main.ts
index 6fd72123..bbe78274 100644
--- a/src/main.ts
+++ b/src/main.ts
@@ -23,7 +23,6 @@ import {
 export const main = async ({
   published,
   onlyChangesets,
-  // eslint-disable-next-line sonarjs/cognitive-complexity
 }: MainCommandOptions = {}) => {
   const { GITLAB_TOKEN, NPM_TOKEN } = env
 
@@ -70,66 +69,17 @@ export const main = async ({
       console.log(
         'No changesets found, attempting to publish any unpublished packages to npm',
       )
-
-      if (NPM_TOKEN) {
-        const userNpmrcPath = `${env.HOME}/.npmrc`
-        if (await fileExists(userNpmrcPath)) {
-          console.info('Found existing user .npmrc file')
-          const userNpmrcContent = await fs.readFile(userNpmrcPath, 'utf8')
-          const authLine = userNpmrcContent.split('\n').find(line => {
-            // check based on https://github.com/npm/cli/blob/8f8f71e4dd5ee66b3b17888faad5a7bf6c657eed/test/lib/adduser.js#L103-L105
-            return /^\s*\/\/registry\.npmjs\.org\/:[_-]authToken=/i.test(line)
-          })
-          if (authLine) {
-            console.info(
-              'Found existing auth token for the npm registry in the user .npmrc file',
-            )
-          } else {
-            console.info(
-              "Didn't find existing auth token for the npm registry in the user .npmrc file, creating one",
-            )
-            await fs.appendFile(
-              userNpmrcPath,
-              `\n//registry.npmjs.org/:_authToken=${NPM_TOKEN}\n`,
-            )
-          }
-        } else {
-          console.info(
-            'No user .npmrc file found, creating one with NPM_TOKEN used as auth token',
-          )
-          await fs.writeFile(
-            userNpmrcPath,
-            `//registry.npmjs.org/:_authToken=${NPM_TOKEN}\n`,
-          )
-        }
-      } else {
-        console.info(
-          'No NPM_TOKEN found - assuming trusted publishing or npm is already authenticated',
-        )
-      }
-
-      const result = await runPublish({
-        script: publishScript,
-        gitlabToken: GITLAB_TOKEN,
-        createGitlabReleases: !FALSY_VALUES.has(
-          getInput('create_gitlab_releases'),
-        ),
+      await runPublishFlow({
+        publishScript,
+        published,
         cwd,
+        GITLAB_TOKEN,
+        NPM_TOKEN,
       })
-
-      if (result.published) {
-        setOutput('published', true)
-        setOutput('publishedPackages', result.publishedPackages)
-        exportVariable('PUBLISHED', true)
-        exportVariable('PUBLISHED_PACKAGES', result.publishedPackages)
-        if (published) {
-          execSync(published)
-        }
-      }
       return
     }
     case hasChangesets: {
-      await runVersion({
+      const result = await runVersion({
         script: getOptionalInput('version'),
         gitlabToken: GITLAB_TOKEN,
         mrTitle: getOptionalInput('title'),
@@ -142,6 +92,94 @@ export const main = async ({
       if (onlyChangesets) {
         execSync(onlyChangesets)
       }
+      // If the version command produced no file changes (e.g. in Changesets v3
+      // when there are no unreleased changesets, or all packages are already
+      // at the target version), fall through to the publish flow instead of
+      // leaving the packages unpublished.
+      if (!result.hasChanges && hasPublishScript) {
+        console.log(
+          'Version command produced no changes, attempting to publish any unpublished packages to npm',
+        )
+        await runPublishFlow({
+          publishScript,
+          published,
+          cwd,
+          GITLAB_TOKEN,
+          NPM_TOKEN,
+        })
+      }
+    }
+  }
+}
+
+async function runPublishFlow({
+  publishScript,
+  published,
+  cwd,
+  GITLAB_TOKEN,
+  NPM_TOKEN,
+}: {
+  publishScript: string
+  published?: string
+  cwd: string
+  GITLAB_TOKEN: string
+  NPM_TOKEN?: string
+}) {
+  if (NPM_TOKEN) {
+    const userNpmrcPath = `${env.HOME}/.npmrc`
+    if (await fileExists(userNpmrcPath)) {
+      console.info('Found existing user .npmrc file')
+      const userNpmrcContent = await fs.readFile(userNpmrcPath, 'utf8')
+      const authLine = userNpmrcContent.split('\n').find(line => {
+        // check based on https://github.com/npm/cli/blob/8f8f71e4dd5ee66b3b17888faad5a7bf6c657eed/test/lib/adduser.js#L103-L105
+        return /^\s*\/\/registry\.npmjs\.org\/:[_-]authToken=/i.test(line)
+      })
+      if (authLine) {
+        console.info(
+          'Found existing auth token for the npm registry in the user .npmrc file',
+        )
+      } else {
+        console.info(
+          "Didn't find existing auth token for the npm registry in the user .npmrc file, creating one",
+        )
+        await fs.appendFile(
+          userNpmrcPath,
+          `\n//registry.npmjs.org/:_authToken=${NPM_TOKEN}\n`,
+        )
+      }
+    } else {
+      console.info(
+        'No user .npmrc file found, creating one with NPM_TOKEN used as auth token',
+      )
+      await fs.writeFile(
+        userNpmrcPath,
+        `//registry.npmjs.org/:_authToken=${NPM_TOKEN}\n`,
+      )
+    }
+  } else {
+    console.info(
+      'No NPM_TOKEN found - assuming trusted publishing or npm is already authenticated',
+    )
+  }
+
+  const result = await runPublish({
+    script: publishScript,
+    gitlabToken: GITLAB_TOKEN,
+    createGitlabReleases: !FALSY_VALUES.has(getInput('create_gitlab_releases')),
+    cwd,
+  })
+
+  if (result.published) {
+    setOutput('published', true)
+    setOutput('publishedPackages', result.publishedPackages)
+    exportVariable('PUBLISHED', true)
+    exportVariable('PUBLISHED_PACKAGES', result.publishedPackages)
+    if (published) {
+      execSync(published)
     }
+  } else if (result.exitCode !== 0) {
+    console.warn(
+      `Publish command exited with code ${result.exitCode} and no packages were published`,
+    )
   }
 }
diff --git a/src/read-changeset-state.ts b/src/read-changeset-state.ts
index 7f829a73..f983cd22 100644
--- a/src/read-changeset-state.ts
+++ b/src/read-changeset-state.ts
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 import { readPreState } from '@changesets/pre'
-import readChangesets from '@changesets/read'
+import { readChangesets } from '@changesets/read'
 import type { PreState, NewChangeset } from '@changesets/types'
 
 export interface ChangesetState {
@@ -16,8 +16,10 @@ export default async function readChangesetState(
   let changesets = await readChangesets(cwd)
 
   if (isInPreMode) {
-    const changesetsToFilter = new Set(preState.changesets)
-    changesets = changesets.filter(x => !changesetsToFilter.has(x.id))
+    // In Changesets v3, versioned prerelease changesets are stored in
+    // `.changeset/pre/` and have IDs starting with `pre/`. These should
+    // be filtered out when in pre mode, as they are already consumed.
+    changesets = changesets.filter(x => !x.id.startsWith('pre/'))
   }
 
   return {
diff --git a/src/run.ts b/src/run.ts
index 7a41e5b6..ed3a00f7 100644
--- a/src/run.ts
+++ b/src/run.ts
@@ -1,4 +1,6 @@
+import { randomUUID } from 'node:crypto'
 import fs from 'node:fs/promises'
+import os from 'node:os'
 import path from 'node:path'
 
 import { exec } from '@actions/exec'
@@ -72,10 +74,75 @@ export interface PublishedPackage {
 }
 
 export type PublishResult =
-  | { published: false }
-  | { published: true; publishedPackages: PublishedPackage[] }
+  | {
+      published: false
+      exitCode: number
+    }
+  | {
+      published: true
+      publishedPackages: PublishedPackage[]
+      exitCode: number
+    }
+
+interface ChangesetsOutputEvent {
+  type: string
+  tag: string
+  packageName: string
+}
+
+function isChangesetsOutputEvent(
+  value: unknown,
+): value is ChangesetsOutputEvent {
+  return (
+    typeof value === 'object' &&
+    value !== null &&
+    'type' in value &&
+    value.type === 'git-tag' &&
+    'tag' in value &&
+    typeof value.tag === 'string' &&
+    'packageName' in value &&
+    typeof value.packageName === 'string'
+  )
+}
+
+async function readChangesetsOutput(
+  outputPath: string,
+): Promise<ChangesetsOutputEvent[]> {
+  let rawOutput: string
+  try {
+    rawOutput = await fs.readFile(outputPath, 'utf8')
+  } catch (err: unknown) {
+    if ((err as { code?: string }).code === 'ENOENT') {
+      return []
+    }
+    throw err
+  }
+
+  const events: ChangesetsOutputEvent[] = []
+
+  for (const line of rawOutput.split('\n')) {
+    if (!line.trim()) {
+      continue
+    }
+
+    let event: unknown
+    try {
+      event = JSON.parse(line)
+    } catch {
+      console.warn(`Ignoring malformed Changesets output line: ${line}`)
+      continue
+    }
+
+    if (isChangesetsOutputEvent(event)) {
+      events.push(event)
+    } else {
+      console.warn(`Ignoring unrecognized Changesets output event: ${line}`)
+    }
+  }
+
+  return events
+}
 
-// eslint-disable-next-line sonarjs/cognitive-complexity
 export async function runPublish({
   script,
   gitlabToken,
@@ -85,71 +152,59 @@ export async function runPublish({
   const api = createApi(gitlabToken)
   const [publishCommand, ...publishArgs] = script.split(/\s+/)
 
-  const changesetPublishOutput = await execWithOutput(
-    publishCommand,
-    publishArgs,
-    { cwd },
+  // Changesets v3 uses a shared output file (via CHANGESETS_OUTPUT env var)
+  // to report published packages as NDJSON events.
+  const outputFile = path.join(
+    os.tmpdir(),
+    `changesets-output-${randomUUID()}.ndjson`,
   )
 
-  const { packages, tool } = await getPackages(cwd)
-
-  const pushAllTags =
-    packages.length <= GITLAB_MAX_TAGS ||
-    (await api.FeatureFlags.show(
-      context.projectId,
-      'git_push_create_all_pipelines',
-    )
-      .then(({ active }) => active)
-      .catch(() => false))
-
-  if (pushAllTags) {
-    await gitUtils.pushTags()
+  let changesetPublishOutput: {
+    code: number
+    stdout: string
+    stderr: string
   }
 
-  const releasedPackages: Package[] = []
+  try {
+    changesetPublishOutput = await execWithOutput(publishCommand, publishArgs, {
+      cwd,
+      ignoreReturnCode: true,
+      env: {
+        ...process.env,
+        CHANGESETS_OUTPUT: outputFile,
+      },
+    })
+    const { packages, tool } = await getPackages(cwd)
 
-  if (tool === 'root') {
-    if (packages.length !== 1) {
-      throw new Error(
-        `No package found.` +
-          'This is probably a bug in the action, please open an issue',
+    const pushAllTags =
+      packages.length <= GITLAB_MAX_TAGS ||
+      (await api.FeatureFlags.show(
+        context.projectId,
+        'git_push_create_all_pipelines',
       )
+        .then(({ active }) => active)
+        .catch(() => false))
+
+    if (pushAllTags) {
+      await gitUtils.pushTags()
     }
-    const pkg = packages[0]
-    const newTagRegex = /New tag:/
-
-    for (const line of changesetPublishOutput.stdout.split('\n')) {
-      const match = newTagRegex.exec(line)
-
-      if (match) {
-        releasedPackages.push(pkg)
-        const tagName = `v${pkg.packageJson.version}`
-        if (createGitlabReleases) {
-          await createRelease(api, { pkg, tagName })
-        }
-        break
-      }
-    }
-  } else {
-    // eslint-disable-next-line regexp/no-misleading-capturing-group, regexp/no-super-linear-backtracking, sonarjs/slow-regex
-    const newTagRegex = /New tag:\s+(@[^/]+\/[^@]+|[^/]+)@(\S+)/
+
+    const outputEvents = await readChangesetsOutput(outputFile)
     const packagesByName = new Map(packages.map(x => [x.packageJson.name, x]))
 
-    for (const line of changesetPublishOutput.stdout.split('\n')) {
-      const match = newTagRegex.exec(line)
-      if (match === null) {
-        continue
-      }
-      const pkgName = match[1]
-      const pkg = packagesByName.get(pkgName)
+    const releasedPackages: Package[] = []
+
+    for (const event of outputEvents) {
+      const pkg = packagesByName.get(event.packageName)
       if (pkg === undefined) {
         throw new Error(
-          `Package "${pkgName}" not found.` +
+          `Package "${event.packageName}" not found.` +
             'This is probably a bug in the action, please open an issue',
         )
       }
       releasedPackages.push(pkg)
     }
+
     if (!pushAllTags) {
       await Promise.all(
         releasedPackages.map(pkg =>
@@ -165,25 +220,32 @@ export async function runPublish({
           limit(() =>
             createRelease(api, {
               pkg,
-              tagName: `${pkg.packageJson.name}@${pkg.packageJson.version}`,
+              tagName:
+                tool.type === 'root'
+                  ? `v${pkg.packageJson.version}`
+                  : `${pkg.packageJson.name}@${pkg.packageJson.version}`,
             }),
           ),
         ),
       )
     }
-  }
 
-  if (releasedPackages.length > 0) {
-    return {
-      published: true,
-      publishedPackages: releasedPackages.map(pkg => ({
-        name: pkg.packageJson.name,
-        version: pkg.packageJson.version,
-      })),
+    if (releasedPackages.length > 0) {
+      return {
+        published: true,
+        publishedPackages: releasedPackages.map(pkg => ({
+          name: pkg.packageJson.name,
+          version: pkg.packageJson.version,
+        })),
+        exitCode: changesetPublishOutput.code,
+      }
     }
-  }
 
-  return { published: false }
+    return { published: false, exitCode: changesetPublishOutput.code }
+  } finally {
+    // Clean up the temp file on both success and failure
+    await fs.rm(outputFile, { force: true })
+  }
 }
 
 const requireChangesetsCliPkgJson = (cwd: string) => {
@@ -212,6 +274,11 @@ export interface VersionOptions {
   hasPublishScript?: boolean
 }
 
+export interface VersionResult {
+  /** Whether the version command produced any file changes */
+  hasChanges: boolean
+}
+
 export async function runVersion({
   script,
   gitlabToken,
@@ -221,7 +288,7 @@ export async function runVersion({
   commitMessage = 'Version Packages',
   removeSourceBranch = false,
   hasPublishScript = false,
-}: VersionOptions) {
+}: VersionOptions): Promise<VersionResult> {
   const currentBranch = context.ref
   const versionBranch = `changeset-release/${currentBranch}`
 
@@ -238,9 +305,11 @@ export async function runVersion({
 
   const versionsByDirectory = await getVersionsByDirectory(cwd)
 
+  // Changesets v3 exits with code 1 when there are no unreleased changesets,
+  // so we ignore the return code and check for actual file changes instead.
   if (script) {
     const [versionCommand, ...versionArgs] = script.split(/\s+/)
-    await exec(versionCommand, versionArgs, { cwd })
+    await exec(versionCommand, versionArgs, { cwd, ignoreReturnCode: true })
   } else {
     const changesetsCliPkgJson = requireChangesetsCliPkgJson(cwd)
     const cmd = semver.lt(changesetsCliPkgJson.version, '2.0.0')
@@ -248,9 +317,22 @@ export async function runVersion({
       : 'version'
     await exec('node', [resolveFrom(cwd, '@changesets/cli/bin.js'), cmd], {
       cwd,
+      ignoreReturnCode: true,
     })
   }
 
+  // After running the version command, check if there are actual file changes.
+  // In Changesets v3, the version command may exit with code 1 when there are
+  // no unreleased changesets. Even if it exits 0, it might produce no file
+  // changes if all packages are already at the target version.
+  // In either case, we should not create or update an empty release MR.
+  if (await gitUtils.checkIfClean()) {
+    console.log(
+      'No file changes after running version command, skipping merge request creation',
+    )
+    return { hasChanges: false }
+  }
+
   const changedPackages = await getChangedPackages(cwd, versionsByDirectory)
 
   const mrBodyPromise = (async () =>
@@ -346,4 +428,6 @@ ${
       labels,
     })
   }
+
+  return { hasChanges: true }
 }
diff --git a/src/utils.ts b/src/utils.ts
index de753528..6c26c3c6 100644
--- a/src/utils.ts
+++ b/src/utils.ts
@@ -95,7 +95,11 @@ export function getChangelogEntry(changelog: string, version: string) {
 export async function execWithOutput(
   command: string,
   args?: string[],
-  options?: { ignoreReturnCode?: boolean; cwd?: string },
+  options?: {
+    ignoreReturnCode?: boolean
+    cwd?: string
+    env?: Record<string, string>
+  },
 ) {
   let myOutput = ''
   let myError = ''
diff --git a/yarn.lock b/yarn.lock
index 6be0d71f..4c0b0980 100644
--- a/yarn.lock
+++ b/yarn.lock
@@ -1758,13 +1758,6 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"@babel/runtime@npm:^7.5.5":
-  version: 7.29.7
-  resolution: "@babel/runtime@npm:7.29.7"
-  checksum: 10c0/ca11572f7146b21e0bde6a9ed4bb6a89eafbee5f0944c7eb54d0d8a2dac962c33638a1d611e14faa71dfbb92b4b5f9236232208568a6b7d5c6f3f39ddb91771e
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
 "@babel/template@npm:^7.27.2, @babel/template@npm:^7.29.7":
   version: 7.29.7
   resolution: "@babel/template@npm:7.29.7"
@@ -1808,257 +1801,225 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"@changesets/apply-release-plan@npm:^7.1.1":
-  version: 7.1.1
-  resolution: "@changesets/apply-release-plan@npm:7.1.1"
-  dependencies:
-    "@changesets/config": "npm:^3.1.4"
-    "@changesets/get-version-range-type": "npm:^0.4.0"
-    "@changesets/git": "npm:^3.0.4"
-    "@changesets/should-skip-package": "npm:^0.1.2"
-    "@changesets/types": "npm:^6.1.0"
-    "@manypkg/get-packages": "npm:^1.1.3"
-    detect-indent: "npm:^6.0.0"
-    fs-extra: "npm:^7.0.1"
-    lodash.startcase: "npm:^4.4.0"
-    outdent: "npm:^0.5.0"
-    prettier: "npm:^2.7.1"
-    resolve-from: "npm:^5.0.0"
-    semver: "npm:^7.5.3"
-  checksum: 10c0/27de184e74e8e48b43fca1f73e7c7a2887b0cdacfe7ba9c09cdc4547dff0de1587bed5fe2d5ec0a3754fa422f6b8a528e0ac452c22ac7a6ae5211f5ac089bfb2
+"@changesets/apply-release-plan@npm:^8.0.0":
+  version: 8.0.0
+  resolution: "@changesets/apply-release-plan@npm:8.0.0"
+  dependencies:
+    "@changesets/config": "npm:^4.0.0"
+    "@changesets/format": "npm:^0.1.1"
+    "@changesets/git": "npm:^4.0.0"
+    "@changesets/should-skip-package": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/types": "npm:^7.0.0"
+    import-meta-resolve: "npm:^4.2.0"
+    jsonc-parser: "npm:^3.3.1"
+    semver: "npm:^7.8.1"
+  checksum: 10c0/c2b35867e34a6bf4ac1f0b2d329d7fe9b0c25f580a9bf3fb106ad025566b4f4a4cf5f444c5d1287e8d482827a286163afd77992a21acb85d560826a26e6a03ed
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"@changesets/assemble-release-plan@npm:^6.0.10, @changesets/assemble-release-plan@npm:^6.0.6":
-  version: 6.0.10
-  resolution: "@changesets/assemble-release-plan@npm:6.0.10"
+"@changesets/assemble-release-plan@npm:^7.0.0":
+  version: 7.0.0
+  resolution: "@changesets/assemble-release-plan@npm:7.0.0"
   dependencies:
-    "@changesets/errors": "npm:^0.2.0"
-    "@changesets/get-dependents-graph": "npm:^2.1.4"
-    "@changesets/should-skip-package": "npm:^0.1.2"
-    "@changesets/types": "npm:^6.1.0"
-    "@manypkg/get-packages": "npm:^1.1.3"
-    semver: "npm:^7.5.3"
-  checksum: 10c0/a0ea336a5f19f8d0a97b684983bcd9c3bb8d6881b7b6abd5b482b301795ae4600924c188982f5f98dc48ac88e94a063b66ab72659041eb2623ade3e35f05d555
+    "@changesets/errors": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/get-dependents-graph": "npm:^3.0.0"
+    "@changesets/should-skip-package": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/types": "npm:^7.0.0"
+    semver: "npm:^7.8.1"
+  checksum: 10c0/2544759583889865487aec744e948c6d84206a42aa593430436ace83003fe00d3880ef623114c396cd5fd883eccb1e03fc4a719ba5c33038a8556df8fca4b9b7
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"@changesets/changelog-git@npm:^0.2.1":
-  version: 0.2.1
-  resolution: "@changesets/changelog-git@npm:0.2.1"
-  dependencies:
-    "@changesets/types": "npm:^6.1.0"
-  checksum: 10c0/6a6fb315ffb2266fcb8f32ae9a60ccdb5436e52350a2f53beacf9822d3355f9052aba5001a718e12af472b4a8fabd69b408d0b11c02ac909ba7a183d27a9f7fd
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
-"@changesets/changelog-github@npm:^0.5.1":
-  version: 0.5.2
-  resolution: "@changesets/changelog-github@npm:0.5.2"
-  dependencies:
-    "@changesets/get-github-info": "npm:^0.7.0"
-    "@changesets/types": "npm:^6.1.0"
-    dotenv: "npm:^8.1.0"
-  checksum: 10c0/c2dbf767f7f18f44539d92f7fd0f42ef6fc33d8f3583a0cd2a558fe8242a4f2db178bf77497c73780652afbae55704b14c32dd33f4d61ebdf28113a0af08f19b
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
-"@changesets/cli@npm:^2.29.0":
-  version: 2.31.1
-  resolution: "@changesets/cli@npm:2.31.1"
-  dependencies:
-    "@changesets/apply-release-plan": "npm:^7.1.1"
-    "@changesets/assemble-release-plan": "npm:^6.0.10"
-    "@changesets/changelog-git": "npm:^0.2.1"
-    "@changesets/config": "npm:^3.1.4"
-    "@changesets/errors": "npm:^0.2.0"
-    "@changesets/get-dependents-graph": "npm:^2.1.4"
-    "@changesets/get-release-plan": "npm:^4.0.16"
-    "@changesets/git": "npm:^3.0.4"
-    "@changesets/logger": "npm:^0.1.1"
-    "@changesets/pre": "npm:^2.0.2"
-    "@changesets/read": "npm:^0.6.7"
-    "@changesets/should-skip-package": "npm:^0.1.2"
-    "@changesets/types": "npm:^6.1.0"
-    "@changesets/write": "npm:^0.4.0"
-    "@inquirer/external-editor": "npm:^1.0.2"
-    "@manypkg/get-packages": "npm:^1.1.3"
-    ansi-colors: "npm:^4.1.3"
-    enquirer: "npm:^2.4.1"
-    fs-extra: "npm:^7.0.1"
-    mri: "npm:^1.2.0"
-    package-manager-detector: "npm:^0.2.0"
-    picocolors: "npm:^1.1.0"
-    resolve-from: "npm:^5.0.0"
-    semver: "npm:^7.5.3"
-    spawndamnit: "npm:^3.0.1"
-    term-size: "npm:^2.1.0"
-  bin:
-    changeset: bin.js
-  checksum: 10c0/375789e85def0bb303ada45d5085c92765010e6b88b8252eb459346ac8a94eba098c9cb8ad416241757796a8828c417fc9e0a23011bd3a74ce33eef013d8311a
+"@changesets/changelog-git@npm:^1.0.0":
+  version: 1.0.0
+  resolution: "@changesets/changelog-git@npm:1.0.0"
+  dependencies:
+    "@changesets/types": "npm:^7.0.0"
+  checksum: 10c0/f0f0ab31e6e6ac35ecdae46a521d4c84aab77bbb035898e364d8f9082391b2b8064ba33d9f97d4f1526195f8278f41910c72382b12fcc0092d5bb9ff3ae05310
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"@changesets/config@npm:^3.1.1, @changesets/config@npm:^3.1.4":
-  version: 3.1.4
-  resolution: "@changesets/config@npm:3.1.4"
-  dependencies:
-    "@changesets/errors": "npm:^0.2.0"
-    "@changesets/get-dependents-graph": "npm:^2.1.4"
-    "@changesets/logger": "npm:^0.1.1"
-    "@changesets/should-skip-package": "npm:^0.1.2"
-    "@changesets/types": "npm:^6.1.0"
-    "@manypkg/get-packages": "npm:^1.1.3"
-    fs-extra: "npm:^7.0.1"
-    micromatch: "npm:^4.0.8"
-  checksum: 10c0/1c0e7975aa719e2c87dfda3f5a1eb81b9f4852cdfb5b5c9d181fa2f8f485e92370b3bdfdb6f666432207dd75a3f79fa8fffe7847d48fb11308acb5ecf327bc12
+"@changesets/changelog-github@npm:^1.0.0":
+  version: 1.0.0
+  resolution: "@changesets/changelog-github@npm:1.0.0"
+  dependencies:
+    "@changesets/get-github-info": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/types": "npm:^7.0.0"
+  checksum: 10c0/c53082e33b9b78330324634407e8ec06e3d1466d6266e0cd8cb3d72955b0a12009d09b3b09e560fe444b47fca31029ad442ba1af55aa04db401f6f7bbf1353a0
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"@changesets/errors@npm:^0.2.0":
-  version: 0.2.0
-  resolution: "@changesets/errors@npm:0.2.0"
-  dependencies:
-    extendable-error: "npm:^0.1.5"
-  checksum: 10c0/f2757c752ab04e9733b0dfd7903f1caf873f9e603794c4d9ea2294af4f937c73d07273c24be864ad0c30b6a98424360d5b96a6eab14f97f3cf2cbfd3763b95c1
+"@changesets/cli@npm:^3.0.0":
+  version: 3.0.1
+  resolution: "@changesets/cli@npm:3.0.1"
+  dependencies:
+    "@changesets/apply-release-plan": "npm:^8.0.0"
+    "@changesets/assemble-release-plan": "npm:^7.0.0"
+    "@changesets/changelog-git": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/config": "npm:^4.0.0"
+    "@changesets/errors": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/get-dependents-graph": "npm:^3.0.0"
+    "@changesets/git": "npm:^4.0.0"
+    "@changesets/pre": "npm:^3.0.0"
+    "@changesets/read": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/should-skip-package": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/types": "npm:^7.0.0"
+    "@changesets/write": "npm:^1.0.1"
+    "@clack/prompts": "npm:^1.7.0"
+    "@manypkg/get-packages": "npm:^3.1.0"
+    "@pnpm/deps.graph-sequencer": "npm:^1100.0.1"
+    cac: "npm:^7.0.0"
+    import-meta-resolve: "npm:^4.2.0"
+    launch-editor: "npm:^2.14.1"
+    package-manager-detector: "npm:^1.6.0"
+    semver: "npm:^7.8.1"
+    tinyexec: "npm:^1.3.0"
+  bin:
+    changeset: bin.js
+  checksum: 10c0/8ff35257fcfc3b627196c16fa2a130e130d57e089fce13c791037222cccf9883e7face01d5cc762f022e0f2057ea05a4a3b0fe9f3a1c0902ea5e274693b817ad
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-"@changesets/get-dependents-graph@npm:^2.1.4":
-  version: 2.1.4
-  resolution: "@changesets/get-dependents-graph@npm:2.1.4"
+"@changesets/config@npm:^4.0.0":
+  version: 4.0.0
+  resolution: "@changesets/config@npm:4.0.0"
   dependencies:
-    "@changesets/types": "npm:^6.1.0"
-    "@manypkg/get-packages": "npm:^1.1.3"
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+    "@changesets/get-dependents-graph": "npm:^3.0.0"
+    "@changesets/should-skip-package": "npm:^1.0.0"
+    "@changesets/types": "npm:^7.0.0"
+    "@manypkg/get-packages": "npm:^3.1.0"
+    picomatch: "npm:^4.0.4"
+  checksum: 10c0/484cd32c509534cb0f46a28b7e18fafc9967ebf920e8df694603dcd83fdf49491b180e0f446c0923e471a984b5695ed1891f1b8a2a5a8ebcee84d27d29779533
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+  resolution: "@changesets/errors@npm:1.0.0"
+  checksum: 10c0/502439fb046b9916e8a0745374c75fa80883b0bdeea92aa2e85be07b8675dcdb50df5bd108ce66eddbda1f8863be750bf817301c9d4904c2168305df870e3f9f
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+"@changesets/format@npm:^0.1.1":
+  version: 0.1.2
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+  resolution: "@changesets/get-dependents-graph@npm:3.0.0"
+  dependencies:
+    "@changesets/types": "npm:^7.0.0"
+    semver: "npm:^7.8.1"
+  checksum: 10c0/ab675098db0b92f61115952fb793620bb5b76e502bad5f7f63bcc85a50e5515f70e08957be87381a58141ab2078bf94dd92df86efa55e73227e7604ba6a3968b
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+"@changesets/get-github-info@npm:^1.0.0":
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-  resolution: "@changesets/logger@npm:0.1.1"
+"@changesets/git@npm:^4.0.0":
+  version: 4.0.0
+  resolution: "@changesets/git@npm:4.0.0"
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-  checksum: 10c0/a0933b5bd4d99e10730b22612dc1bdfd25b8804c5b48f8cada050bf5c7a89b2ae9a61687f846a5e9e5d379a95b59fef795c8d5d91e49a251f8da2be76133f83f
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+    "@changesets/types": "npm:^7.0.0"
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+    picomatch: "npm:^4.0.4"
+    tinyexec: "npm:^1.3.0"
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+"@changesets/parse@npm:^1.0.0":
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+  resolution: "@changesets/parse@npm:1.0.0"
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+  languageName: node
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+  languageName: node
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+  languageName: node
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   checksum: 10c0/46ee59bfd972ce6a45500c44ed130dff2d0a7d6fbac9841e59d548518cad8060a06393c9a5dcbc0cede294ad80b2a2cd8c904679e09265f53efc0a0879f30961
@@ -12221,6 +12026,13 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
+"sisteransi@npm:^1.0.5":
+  version: 1.0.5
+  resolution: "sisteransi@npm:1.0.5"
+  checksum: 10c0/230ac975cca485b7f6fe2b96a711aa62a6a26ead3e6fb8ba17c5a00d61b8bed0d7adc21f5626b70d7c33c62ff4e63933017a6462942c719d1980bb0b1207ad46
+  languageName: node
+  linkType: hard
+
 "size-limit-node-esbuild@npm:^0.3.0":
   version: 0.3.1
   resolution: "size-limit-node-esbuild@npm:0.3.1"
@@ -12337,16 +12149,6 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"spawndamnit@npm:^3.0.1":
-  version: 3.0.1
-  resolution: "spawndamnit@npm:3.0.1"
-  dependencies:
-    cross-spawn: "npm:^7.0.5"
-    signal-exit: "npm:^4.0.1"
-  checksum: 10c0/a9821a59bc78a665bd44718dea8f4f4010bb1a374972b0a6a1633b9186cda6d6fd93f22d1e49d9944d6bb175ba23ce29036a4bd624884fb157d981842c3682f3
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
 "spdx-correct@npm:^3.0.0":
   version: 3.2.0
   resolution: "spdx-correct@npm:3.2.0"
@@ -12405,13 +12207,6 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"sprintf-js@npm:~1.0.2":
-  version: 1.0.3
-  resolution: "sprintf-js@npm:1.0.3"
-  checksum: 10c0/ecadcfe4c771890140da5023d43e190b7566d9cf8b2d238600f31bec0fc653f328da4450eb04bd59a431771a8e9cc0e118f0aa3974b683a4981b4e07abc2a5bb
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
 "stable-hash-x@npm:^0.2.0":
   version: 0.2.0
   resolution: "stable-hash-x@npm:0.2.0"
@@ -12510,13 +12305,6 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"strip-bom@npm:^3.0.0":
-  version: 3.0.0
-  resolution: "strip-bom@npm:3.0.0"
-  checksum: 10c0/51201f50e021ef16672593d7434ca239441b7b760e905d9f33df6e4f3954ff54ec0e0a06f100d028af0982d6f25c35cd5cda2ce34eaebccd0250b8befb90d8f1
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
 "strip-bom@npm:^4.0.0":
   version: 4.0.0
   resolution: "strip-bom@npm:4.0.0"
@@ -12629,13 +12417,6 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"term-size@npm:^2.1.0":
-  version: 2.2.1
-  resolution: "term-size@npm:2.2.1"
-  checksum: 10c0/89f6bba1d05d425156c0910982f9344d9e4aebf12d64bfa1f460d93c24baa7bc4c4a21d355fbd7153c316433df0538f64d0ae6e336cc4a69fdda4f85d62bc79d
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
 "test-exclude@npm:^7.0.1":
   version: 7.0.2
   resolution: "test-exclude@npm:7.0.2"
@@ -12675,14 +12456,14 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
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-"tinyexec@npm:^1.0.0":
+"tinyexec@npm:^1.0.0, tinyexec@npm:^1.3.0":
   version: 1.3.0
   resolution: "tinyexec@npm:1.3.0"
   checksum: 10c0/e9b89f97489d2aab2cef408da279e6b32547e738d1275032ccb8fd0028a006d93eb70fc51c6cffd9fc2f5aca6c2a273d8b6f73b52d46ee5116da6b94969ef958
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.11, tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.12, tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.14, tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.15":
+"tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.11, tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.12, tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.13, tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.14, tinyglobby@npm:^0.2.15":
   version: 0.2.17
   resolution: "tinyglobby@npm:0.2.17"
   dependencies:
@@ -12738,13 +12519,6 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"tr46@npm:~0.0.3":
-  version: 0.0.3
-  resolution: "tr46@npm:0.0.3"
-  checksum: 10c0/047cb209a6b60c742f05c9d3ace8fa510bff609995c129a37ace03476a9b12db4dbf975e74600830ef0796e18882b2381fb5fb1f6b4f96b832c374de3ab91a11
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
 "treeify@npm:^1.1.0":
   version: 1.1.0
   resolution: "treeify@npm:1.1.0"
@@ -13546,13 +13320,6 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"webidl-conversions@npm:^3.0.0":
-  version: 3.0.1
-  resolution: "webidl-conversions@npm:3.0.1"
-  checksum: 10c0/5612d5f3e54760a797052eb4927f0ddc01383550f542ccd33d5238cfd65aeed392a45ad38364970d0a0f4fea32e1f4d231b3d8dac4a3bdd385e5cf802ae097db
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
 "whatwg-mimetype@npm:5.0.0":
   version: 5.0.0
   resolution: "whatwg-mimetype@npm:5.0.0"
@@ -13560,16 +13327,6 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"whatwg-url@npm:^5.0.0":
-  version: 5.0.0
-  resolution: "whatwg-url@npm:5.0.0"
-  dependencies:
-    tr46: "npm:~0.0.3"
-    webidl-conversions: "npm:^3.0.0"
-  checksum: 10c0/1588bed84d10b72d5eec1d0faa0722ba1962f1821e7539c535558fb5398d223b0c50d8acab950b8c488b4ba69043fd833cc2697056b167d8ad46fac3995a55d5
-  languageName: node
-  linkType: hard
-
 "which@npm:^1.2.14":
   version: 1.3.1
   resolution: "which@npm:1.3.1"
@@ -13711,7 +13468,7 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"yaml@npm:^2.0.0, yaml@npm:^2.7.1":
+"yaml@npm:^2.0.0, yaml@npm:^2.7.1, yaml@npm:^2.9.0":
   version: 2.9.0
   resolution: "yaml@npm:2.9.0"
   bin: